Long-term interactions among food prices, exchange rate and household real income in Türkiye

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dc.contributor.authorDogan, Hasan Gokhan
dc.contributor.authorAgizan, Kemalettin
dc.contributor.authorBayramoglu, Zeki
dc.contributor.authorCandemir, Serhan
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-19T06:37:39Z
dc.date.available2026-06-19T06:37:39Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentMalatya Turgut Özal Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractFood inflation can be expressed as an increase in the general level of food prices in a certain period. The rate of food inflation in the total inflation in T & uuml;rkiye can be expressed as 25%. While food price increases directly affect inflation, they also exert great pressure on low-income households. In particular, the COVID-19 process and panic-induced demand shocks after the Russia-Ukraine war, sudden changes in monetary policies, and disruptions in the supply chain were directly reflected in food prices. Considering that exchange rate increases and inflation increases occur all over the world, examining the current situation quantitatively is considered important in terms of food inflation and access to food. In this study, the interactions between the real disposable income of households, food inflation, and the dollar exchange rate in T & uuml;rkiye between 2006 and 2022 were examined. According to the results obtained with the help of time series analysis, the increase in food inflation had a negative effect on disposable real income, whereas the dollar exchange rate had a positive effect. In the fight against food inflation, increasing the supply through productivity increases in agricultural production, adopting subsidies that will minimize costs in agriculture and agriculture-related sectors as state policy, ensuring the sustainability of all departments connected to the food supply chain, and introducing new approaches in inflation fight strategies according to income groups are medium and long term solutions. This will contribute to the economic welfare of households and to the economic growth process based on effective demand.
dc.identifier.doi10.3897/ejfa.2025.127736
dc.identifier.endpage8
dc.identifier.issn2079-052X
dc.identifier.issn2079-0538
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2340-2614
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5303-1770
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3258-3848
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4248-7024
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105002060986
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3897/ejfa.2025.127736
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12899/5134
dc.identifier.volume37
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001459702600001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUnited Arab Emirates Univ
dc.relation.ispartofEmirates Journal of Food and Agriculture
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20260612
dc.subjectInflation
dc.subjectFood Inflation
dc.subjectDollars Exchange Rate
dc.subjectT & Uuml;Rkiye
dc.subjectWelfare
dc.titleLong-term interactions among food prices, exchange rate and household real income in Türkiye
dc.typeArticle

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